Tropical Waves Still Failing to Develop

In the tropical Atlantic

 

In the tropical Atlantic, there are currently a few tropical waves, however only one looks to have the potential to develop over the next 24 to 48 hours.
The most significant feature across the tropical Atlantic is a wave just east of the Lesser Antilles. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system continue to remain somewhat organized, however no circulation center has managed to become pronounced and therefore, the system remains largely disorganized.

As the wave begins to take a westerly or even just south of west track, it will move into more favorable conditions and have a higher likelihood of developing over the open waters of the Caribbean. If a track farther north occurs, it will have to deal with more land interaction and higher wind shear which would likely result in just a large area of unsettled weather across the region.

Over the next couple of the days, this tropical wave will bring showers and locally gusty winds to the Lesser Antilles. Showers and thunderstorms will then advance with the wave into the northeastern Caribbean Sea, affecting the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday. The worst weather may remain farther south over the open Caribbean during this time.

Another tropical wave is currently located near the Yucatan Peninsula and far western Cuba. While the system has significant convection associated with it, land interaction and wind shear will keep the wave from organizing.

A new wave is moving off the coast of Africa as well, however dry air from the north, along with the fact that it's still partially over Africa, will prevent this wave from developing in the short term.