Mittwoch, 11. September 2013

Number One!

Humberto Becomes Season's First Hurricane; Gabrielle Spinning Away From Bermuda.

 





Gabrielle is currently to the west-northwest of Bermuda this morning and is producing heavy rain and gusty winds for the area. Rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches can be expected by the end of this morning. Sustained winds of around 40 mph with gusts as high as 60 mph are expected through the rest of the morning. The combination of heavy rain and strong winds can bring scattered power outages and perhaps some damage to weaker structures. Increasing rain and wind are expected over eastern Nova Scotia Friday and Friday night as Gabrielle passes near or just off to the east of Nova Scotia. Gabrielle will make a transition from a tropical to a post-tropical storm later Friday or Friday night, and then impact Newfoundland with some rain and wind later Friday into Saturday. Beyond Saturday, what is left of Gabrielle will race across the northern Atlantic Ocean.

Humberto has become the first Hurricane of the season in the Atlantic Ocean this morning. Humberto will take a more northerly turn later today and Thursday as the storm interacts with a disturbance situated to the southwest. A semi-permanent high pressure system near the Azores will deflect Humberto back to a more westerly direction as for the end of the week and through the weekend. Humberto poses no threat to land for the rest of the week and through this weekend.






Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean are associated with a tropical wave that is about to push westward into the Yucatan Peninsula. This wave will bring an enhanced threat for showers and storms to the Yucatan through Thursday. On Thursday, this tropical wave will start to emerge westward into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions and some model guidance suggest that this wave will have the opportunity to acquire tropical characteristics over the southern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week into this weekend. Regardless of tropical development, an enhanced threat for heavier showers and thunderstorms is possible across northeastern Mexico and southern Texas later this weekend.



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