Remnant of Gabrielle

Still Watching Southwest Gulf

 

Gabrielle has been downgraded to a tropical rainstorm now, but we will be watching the remnants tracking northwestward then northward over the next couple of days. There remains a broad counter clockwise rotation between Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, but the showers and thunderstorms are displaced well to the east, over and south of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Additional rainfall of 2-4 inches can be expected with the deep moisture. The former Gabrielle may merge with a large area of disturbed weather currently to the northeast of the Great Antilles. This merged system will move northward and there is a chance this might develop into an organized tropical system in a couple of days. Even if this happens, a weakening cold front should keep it well away from land.

Meanwhile, data from a reconnaissance aircraft on Thursday suggests the system in the southwest Gulf of Mexico does not have a coherent or common low level circulation center. Showers and thunderstorms which blossomed during the day Thursday diminished overnight. If convection can get going again today it could wrap up and develop the low pressure area into into a tropical depression or storm before moving inland over Mexico later today or tonight. Regardless of development the low will bring moderate to heavy rainfall over parts of the Mexican and southern Texas coast during the next few days.