Tropical Storm Barry

Tropical Storm Barry is currently located in the southern Bay of Campeche. It is moving to the west at 10 mph and it has sustained winds of 40 mph.

Latest satellite imagery indicates that Barry has become better organized, with convection becoming more distinct around the center of circulation. Though the storm continues to encounter some southwesterly wind shear, the shear has relaxed enough to allow the system to slowly strengthen. Some slight strengthening is possible before Barry makes landfall across southern Mexico.



Regardless of further intensification, the main impact with this system will continue to be heavy rainfall, resulting in flooding. Rainfall totals will average more 2-4 inches with many places picking up over 8 inches. The heaviest rain will fall over southern and southeastern Mexico including parts of the Yucatan Peninsula. Additionally, a large inflow of deep moisture flowing from Guatemala into Barry will help bring parts of that country heavy flooding rainfall.

Interaction with higher terrain will lead to life threatening flooding and mudslides over parts of southern Mexico through Friday.

Barry is expected to continue on a predominantly western track, making landfall just south-southeast of Veracruz, Mexico, late tonight or early Thursday. The cyclone will unravel and fall apart upon interacting with the higher terrain of southern Mexico and is expected to dissipate on Thursday night.
Elsewhere, there are no other areas of concern for tropical development across the Atlantic basin thanks to unfavorable upper-level shear and Saharan dust.