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AccuWeather.com meteorologists are monitoring possible tropical development for the middle of this week. Recent satellite imagery shows an area of showers and thunderstorms extending from the Yucatan Peninsula to just east of the Florida Straits. High wind shear is present in the region and will continue to inhibit development of this area over the next 24 hours, so any organization during this time should be slow to occur.

Wind shear is expected to weaken during the middle of the week and global forecasting models continue to indicate an area of broad tropical development over the central Gulf of Mexico. If this system manages to organize into a tropical storm, it would take on the name "Andrea" and be the first named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Most computer models show that this disturbance will drift northeastward into parts of the eastern Gulf of Mexico during midweek, then move over Florida late in the week, likely bringing heavy rainfall and perhaps gusty winds to the west coat of Florida. Wind shear looks to increase across the northern Gulf of Mexico late in the week which would again work to weaken this system and prevent it from intensifying into a strong tropical system. Regardless of whether this system develops or not, with abundant tropical moisture across the region, heavy rainfall is likely across Florida this week with flooding possible, especially from Wednesday through Friday.