Atlantic Hurricane & Tropical Storm Center

Atlantic Ocean Mainly Quiet, However, Seveal Weak Features Being Monitored.

 

The Atlantic Ocean remains relatively quiet. Erin the fifth tropical storm of the season has become a remnant low along its parent tropical wave. This remnant low over the central Atlantic is embedded within a larger area of dry, stable a which caused its demise. A north south cluster of showers and thunderstorms continues to slowly work westward across the Gulf of Mexico. This area of active weather remains disorganized and has no support for development. The area of deep moisture will move into the Texas coast later today and Tuesday bringing beneficial rainfall.

A tropical wave roughly along 85 west has a cluster of persistent thunderstorms near 26 north. This area of thunderstorms is weakly supported by an upper level disturbance. There are no signs of any low level feature and as a result we are not expecting this feature to become any better organized during the next couple of days. But, we will continue to closely monitor this tropical wave.

A tropical wave along 65 west south of 22 north and a tropical wave along 46 west with the remnant low of Erin near 20 north has a larger area of deep moisture. This tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles by Thursday night or Friday with more clouds and showers.

The tropical wave that came off the West Coast of Africa yesterday, the 26th tropical wave to move off the coast of Africa this season continues to head westward. The tropical wave is roughly along 25 west longitude with a broad area of low pressure centered near 15 north. Dry stable air and moderate shear will prevent this feature from organizing during the next few days. However, once the feature moves out of this more hostile environment there might be some opportunity for development toward the end of this week or over the upcoming weekend.

More favorable conditions will start to evolve across the entire basin by next week. This could lead to multiple storms. The highest potential for longer range development will be across the eastern Atlantic.